NC St
W-L: ( 8- 4) PR = 83.4834Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 828 H Ea Carolina AME ( 8- 4, 81.4) 24- 7 906 H Virginia ACC (10- 3, 84.4) 35-31 911 A Wake Forest ACC ( 8- 4, 79.4) 34-24 920 A Duke ACC ( 8- 5, 82.2) 33-45 927 H Va Tech ACC ( 2-10, 72.4) 21-20 1004 H Campbell 56-10 1011 A Notre Dame IND (10- 2, 95.0) 7-36 1025 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 8- 4, 84.9) 34-53 1101 H Georgia Tech ACC ( 9- 3, 82.0) 48-36 1115 A Miami ACC (10- 2, 91.7) 7-41 1121 H Florida St ACC ( 5- 7, 80.8) 21-11 1129 H UNC ACC ( 5- 7, 75.9) 42-19
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
828 H Ea Carolina 24- 7 17 5 +++ 9.20
906 H Virginia 35-31 4 2 + 2.27
911 A Wake Forest 34-24 10 1 +++ 8.62
920 A Duke 33-45 -12 -1 --- -10.60
927 H Va Tech 21-20 1 14 --- -12.76
1011 A Notre Dame 7-36 -29 -14 0.00
1025 A Pittsburgh 34-53 -19 -4 --- -9.95
1101 H Georgia Tech 48-36 12 4 +++ 7.88
1115 A Miami 7-41 -34 -11 - -3.12
1121 H Florida St 21-11 10 5 ++ 4.67
1129 H UNC 42-19 23 10 + 3.79
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 920 A Duke 33-45 -12 -1 --- -10.60 927 H Va Tech 21-20 1 14 --- -12.76 1025 A Pittsburgh 34-53 -19 -4 --- -9.95 1115 A Miami 7-41 -34 -11 - -3.12 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 828 H Ea Carolina 24- 7 17 5 +++ 9.20 911 A Wake Forest 34-24 10 1 +++ 8.62 1101 H Georgia Tech 48-36 12 4 +++ 7.88 1121 H Florida St 21-11 10 5 ++ 4.67 906 H Virginia 35-31 4 2 + 2.27 1129 H UNC 42-19 23 10 + 3.79 |
NC St Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | NC St | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | NC St | |
| California | NC St | NC St 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Clemson | NC St | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | NC St | |
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Georgia Tech | NC St | NC St | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Louisville | |
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| UNC | NC St | NC St | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | SMU | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | SMU | |
| Stanford | NC St | NC St 3- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Syracuse | NC St | NC St 2- 4 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Virginia | NC St | NC St | ||
| Va Tech | NC St | NC St | ||
| Wake Forest | NC St | NC St | ||
| Army | NC St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | NC St | |
| Charlotte | NC St | NC St 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Ea Carolina | NC St | NC St | ||
| Fla Atlantic | NC St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | NC St | |
| Memphis | NC St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | NC St | |
| Navy | NC St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | NC St | |
| No Texas | No Texas | No Texas | ||
| Rice | NC St | NC St | ||
| So Florida | So Florida | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | So Florida | |
| Temple | NC St | NC St 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Tulane | Tulane | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Tulane | |
| Tulsa | NC St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | NC St | |
| UAB | NC St | NC St | ||
| UTSA | NC St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | NC St | |
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona St | NC St | NC St | ||
| BYU | BYU | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | BYU | |
| Baylor | NC St | NC St | ||
| Cincinnati | NC St | NC St | ||
| Colorado | NC St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | NC St | |
| Houston | NC St | NC St | ||
| Iowa St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Kansas | NC St | NC St | ||
| Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | ||
| Oklahoma St | NC St | NC St | ||
| TCU | TCU | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | TCU | |
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | ||
| UCF | NC St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | NC St | |
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We Virginia | NC St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | NC St | |
| Illinois | Illinois | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Illinois | |
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | NC St | NC St | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Minnesota | NC St | NC St | ||
| Nebraska | NC St | NC St | ||
| Northwestern | NC St | NC St | ||
| Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Purdue | NC St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | NC St | |
| Rutgers | NC St | NC St | ||
| UCLA | NC St | NC St | ||
| USC | USC | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | USC | |
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wisconsin | NC St | NC St | ||
| Florida Intl | NC St | NC St | ||
| Jacksonv. St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Kennesaw St | NC St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | NC St | |
| Liberty | NC St | NC St | ||
| La Tech | NC St | NC St | ||
| Middle Tenn | NC St | NC St | ||
| NM St | NC St | NC St | ||
| SHouston St | NC St | NC St | ||
| UTEP | NC St | NC St | ||
| We Kentucky | NC St | NC St | ||
| UMass | NC St | NC St | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| UConn | NC St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | NC St | |
| Akron | NC St | NC St | ||
| Ball St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Bowl. Green | NC St | NC St | ||
| Buffalo | NC St | NC St | ||
| Cen Michigan | NC St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | NC St | |
| Ea Michigan | NC St | NC St | ||
| Kent State | NC St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | NC St | |
| MiamiOH | NC St | NC St | ||
| No Illinois | NC St | NC St | ||
| Ohio | NC St | NC St | ||
| Toledo | NC St | NC St | ||
| We Michigan | NC St | NC St | ||
| Air Force | NC St | NC St | ||
| Boise State | NC St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | NC St | |
| Colorado St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Fresno St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Hawaii | NC St | NC St | ||
| Nevada | NC St | NC St | ||
| New Mexico | NC St | NC St | ||
| San Diego St | NC St | NC St | ||
| San Jose St | NC St | NC St | ||
| UNLV | NC St | NC St | ||
| Utah St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Wyoming | NC St | NC St | ||
| Oregon St | NC St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | NC St | |
| Wash St | NC St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | NC St | |
| Alabama | Alabama | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Alabama | |
| Arkansas | NC St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | NC St | |
| Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | ||
| Florida | NC St | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | NC St | |
| Georgia | Georgia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Georgia | |
| Kentucky | NC St | NC St | ||
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So Carolina | NC St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | NC St | |
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas A&M | |
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Vanderbilt | |
| App St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Arkansas State | NC St | NC St | ||
| Coastal Car | NC St | NC St 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Georgia So | NC St | NC St | ||
| Georgia St | NC St | NC St | ||
| J Madison | J Madison | J Madison | ||
| Louisiana | NC St | NC St | ||
| Marshall | NC St | NC St | ||
| Old Dominion | NC St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | NC St | |
| So Miss | NC St | NC St | ||
| So Alabama | NC St | NC St | ||
| Texas State | NC St | NC St | ||
| Troy | NC St | NC St | ||
| La-Monroe | NC St | NC St | ||
| Delaware | NC St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | NC St | |
| Missouri St | NC St | NC St |
PowerWise = 99
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.13
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Ea Carolina ( 8- 4, 81.4) 24- 7 -18.54 28.60 -2.67 1.10 57.20
0 H Virginia (10- 3, 84.4) 35-31 -15.48 31.67 -2.67 1.10 63.97
0 A Wake Forest ( 8- 4, 79.4) 34-24 -20.47 26.68 2.67 1.10 64.75
0 A Duke ( 8- 5, 82.2) 33-45 -17.69 29.46 2.67 1.10 -8.28
0 H Va Tech ( 2-10, 72.4) 21-20 -27.50 19.65 -2.67 1.10 37.44
0 A Notre Dame (10- 2, 95.0) 7-36 -4.93 42.22 2.67 1.10 -1.25
0 A Pittsburgh ( 8- 4, 84.9) 34-53 -15.04 32.11 2.67 1.10 -6.82
0 H Georgia Tech ( 9- 3, 82.0) 48-36 -17.86 29.29 -2.67 1.10 58.70
0 A Miami (10- 2, 91.7) 7-41 -8.21 38.94 2.67 1.10 -3.05
0 H Florida St ( 5- 7, 80.8) 21-11 -19.07 28.08 -2.67 1.10 56.05
0 H UNC ( 5- 7, 75.9) 42-19 -23.95 23.20 -2.67 1.10 45.27
------
363.98
|
winning pts = 383.3749 losing points = -19.3982
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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